Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
KIL
0 - 6
CEL
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
STJ
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GLA
3 - 2
CEL
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 1
KIL
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 4
CEL
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HOM
3 - 0
ABE
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
STJ
2 - 1
HOM
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
STM
0 - 2
HOM
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 0
HIB
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |