Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
HAP
2 - 1
CEL
42%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 1
DUN
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 1
CEL
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 1
CEL
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CEL
5 - 2
STJ
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 2
HOM
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 0
DZG
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
HOM
1 - 2
GLA
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
DZG
4 - 0
HOM
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |