Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 3
CEL
26%
24%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
ACM
3 - 1
CEL
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
CEL
8 - 1
FAL
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
HIB
2 - 2
CEL
32%
25%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HOM
0 - 0
LIV
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
SPB
2 - 2
HOM
39%
28%
33%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 0
ICT
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
HOM
2 - 1
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |