Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
GLA
1 - 2
CEL
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
FCB
0 - 0
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
HIB
0 - 4
CEL
34%
25%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 1
MHE
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 1
GLA
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
KIL
1 - 1
HOM
33%
27%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 0
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 3
HOM
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |