Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1978 |
CEL
3 - 1
DUN
72%
16%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
GRE
1 - 2
CEL
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
STM
3 - 1
CEL
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
CLY
1 - 1
CEL
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
CEL
5 - 2
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
HOM
1 - 4
ABE
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
72%
16%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
36%
23%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
DUN
3 - 1
HOM
59%
20%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 0
HOM
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |