Celtic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
QOS
0 - 2
CEL
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
CEL
4 - 1
STM
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
CEL
1 - 3
ABE
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
GLA
2 - 0
CEL
70%
17%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
STM
1 - 0
CEL
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
HOM
0 - 1
EAS
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
EAS
4 - 3
HOM
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
RAI
1 - 2
HOM
52%
20%
28%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
HOM
4 - 5
STI
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
HOM
1 - 1
EAS
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |