Celtic vs Falkirk analysis

Celtic Falkirk
83 ELO 76
11% Tilt 11%
466º General ELO ranking 399º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.3%
Celtic
18.5%
Draw
14.2%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
Celtic
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.2%
Win probability
Falkirk
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celtic
+22%
+3%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Celtic
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 1927
HAM
Hamilton Academical
3 - 3
Celtic
CEL
30%
23%
48%
83 69 14 0
12 Feb. 1927
DUN
Dundee
1 - 2
Celtic
CEL
48%
24%
28%
83 83 0 0
02 Feb. 1927
CEL
Celtic
2 - 3
Hibernian FC
HIB
65%
19%
16%
83 75 8 0
15 Jan. 1927
CEL
Celtic
7 - 0
Clyde
CLY
81%
13%
7%
83 66 17 0
08 Jan. 1927
GRE
Greenock Morton
2 - 6
Celtic
CEL
28%
23%
49%
83 68 15 0

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 1927
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
51%
22%
27%
76 76 0 0
09 Feb. 1927
DUN
Dundee United
0 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
38%
24%
38%
76 66 10 0
29 Jan. 1927
FAL
Falkirk
4 - 0
St. Johnstone
STJ
66%
20%
14%
75 67 8 +1
15 Jan. 1927
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
54%
23%
24%
76 74 2 -1
03 Jan. 1927
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
64%
20%
16%
76 80 4 0