UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 3-2
Celtic vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FCB
3 - 1
CEL
94%
5%
1%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 1
LEI
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 0
LRI
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 1
WOL
38%
24%
39%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AST
2 - 1
ZAL
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AST
2 - 1
ATY
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
ZAL
0 - 0
AST
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
AKZ
1 - 5
AST
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |