UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-3
Celtic vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 1
LIV
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
RBK
0 - 0
CEL
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 1
RBK
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALA
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CEL
4 - 1
SDL
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
AEK
3 - 2
GAL
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ATR
0 - 0
AEK
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 0
AEK
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
AEK
0 - 2
PAO
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
APS
0 - 1
AEK
15%
27%
58%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |