Celti Puebla vs Guadalcanal C.D analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-103%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celti Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 0
CEL
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ERM
0 - 0
CEL
22%
23%
55%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
CEL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
PRI
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
MUR
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
5 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
PRI
21%
22%
58%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 3
UNI
19%
20%
62%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 4
BRE
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |