Celta vs Valencia analysis


86	ELO	91
-9.9%	Tilt	-8.2%
56º	General ELO ranking	55º
12º	Country ELO ranking	11º
ELO win probability

33.6%

Celta

29.4%

Draw

37%

Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

33.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%

29.4%

Draw

0-0

11.5%

1-1

13.4%

2-2

3.9%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

29.4%

37%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+5%

+4%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 Apr. 2006	ATM 0 - 3 CEL 51% 26% 23%	86	88	2	0
26 Mar. 2006	CEL 2 - 0 MLL 47% 26% 27%	86	85	1	0
22 Mar. 2006	ALA 1 - 0 CEL 39% 27% 35%	86	82	4	0
19 Mar. 2006	CEL 0 - 1 ATH 44% 26% 30%	86	86	0	0
11 Mar. 2006	ESP 2 - 0 CEL 51% 25% 25%	87	86	1	-1

Matches

Valencia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
02 Apr. 2006	VCF 5 - 3 CAD 73% 19% 8%	91	80	11
26 Mar. 2006	SEV 1 - 0 VCF 38% 29% 33%	91	89	2
22 Mar. 2006	VCF 1 - 1 VIL 50% 26% 24%	91	90	1
19 Mar. 2006	RAC 2 - 1 VCF 28% 29% 43%	91	84	7
11 Mar. 2006	VCF 0 - 0 RMA 37% 26% 36%	91	92	1