Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Celta vs UD Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 0
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 0
CEL
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
CEL
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
EIB
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
RAY
1 - 0
CEL
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
REC
2 - 4
UDL
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
SAB
2 - 2
UDL
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 0
LEG
71%
20%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
CEL
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VAD
1 - 2
UDL
52%
25%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |