Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Celta vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1932 |
SPO
0 - 0
CEL
70%
15%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
CEL
2 - 0
NAM
79%
12%
9%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
NAM
2 - 1
CEL
32%
21%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
DBN
0 - 13
CEL
19%
19%
62%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
CEL
9 - 0
DBN
87%
8%
5%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1932 |
SPO
0 - 0
CEL
70%
15%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
SPO
2 - 1
ARE
48%
21%
30%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
ARE
2 - 3
SPO
72%
15%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
SPO
5 - 3
IMP
86%
9%
5%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
IMP
0 - 3
SPO
22%
22%
57%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | +1 |