Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-8
Celta vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.7%
12.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
55%
20%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
CEL
3 - 1
OSA
63%
17%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
MUR
3 - 0
CEL
55%
20%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
CEL
6 - 1
SAB
74%
14%
12%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
CEL
2 - 1
HER
71%
15%
14%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
SAB
5 - 0
VAD
60%
19%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
MUR
4 - 2
SAB
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SAB
1 - 0
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1935 |
CEL
6 - 1
SAB
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
VAD
0 - 1
SAB
55%
20%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |