Celta vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
CEL
8 - 0
LEO
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
RAC
1 - 5
CEL
17%
21%
63%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
CEL
11 - 1
RUD
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 18 | 58 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
CEL
2 - 1
DEP
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
OVI
4 - 2
CEL
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
OVI
4 - 0
DEP
56%
21%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
RUD
1 - 3
OVI
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 18 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
LEO
3 - 3
OVI
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1928 |
OVI
7 - 0
RAC
85%
10%
5%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
OVI
4 - 2
CEL
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |