Celta vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CEL
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 1
ALB
58%
25%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
GIR
1 - 3
CEL
28%
26%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
REC
1 - 2
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RAY
2 - 2
CAD
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
RAY
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CCF
0 - 1
RAY
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RAY
2 - 2
BET
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 3
RAY
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |