Celta vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
XER
1 - 1
CEL
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
CEL
1 - 1
RMC
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
FIG
0 - 2
CEL
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
CEL
3 - 2
MAL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
RAY
0 - 0
VCF
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
FIG
0 - 0
RAY
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
RAY
1 - 0
MAL
47%
30%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
LOG
1 - 0
RAY
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
RAY
1 - 0
REC
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |