Celta vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 2
CEL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 3
ALM
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 2
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 1
REC
51%
27%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NUM
1 - 0
MUR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 0
NUM
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
NUM
5 - 0
CCF
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 1
NUM
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 0
ALC
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |