Celta vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 0
VAD
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 1
XER
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 0
CEL
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
ALA
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 2
SEV
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GET
1 - 0
NUM
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
NUM
1 - 0
REC
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VAD
0 - 0
NUM
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 0
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |