Celta vs Numancia analysis

Celta Numancia
87 ELO 78
7.8% Tilt -12.7%
56º General ELO ranking 2486º
12º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
71.8%
Celta
17.1%
Draw
11.1%
Numancia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
Celta
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.1%
Win probability
Numancia
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celta
+5%
-7%
Numancia

ELO progression

Celta
Numancia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2000
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
69%
18%
13%
87 90 3 0
02 Apr. 2000
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
70%
19%
11%
87 83 4 0
26 Mar. 2000
BET
Real Betis
0 - 0
Celta
CEL
40%
27%
33%
87 83 4 0
23 Mar. 2000
LEN
Lens
2 - 1
Celta
CEL
52%
25%
23%
87 87 0 0
19 Mar. 2000
CEL
Celta
1 - 1
Deportivo Alavés
ALA
70%
18%
12%
87 83 4 0

Matches

Numancia
Numancia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2000
NUM
Numancia
1 - 2
Real Sociedad
RSO
40%
27%
33%
78 85 7 0
02 Apr. 2000
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
0 - 0
Numancia
NUM
61%
21%
18%
78 81 3 0
25 Mar. 2000
NUM
Numancia
3 - 0
Atlético
ATM
30%
25%
46%
77 86 9 +1
19 Mar. 2000
SEV
Sevilla
4 - 0
Numancia
NUM
49%
25%
26%
78 77 1 -1
12 Mar. 2000
NUM
Numancia
1 - 1
Real Oviedo
OVI
47%
25%
28%
78 79 1 0