Celta vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
CAS
0 - 3
CEL
32%
22%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
CEL
2 - 1
OVI
61%
18%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
SEV
2 - 2
CEL
76%
13%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
CEL
2 - 1
DEP
78%
12%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
FCB
0 - 2
CEL
65%
18%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
HER
1 - 1
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
HER
2 - 2
ATM
34%
23%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
4 - 0
HER
30%
22%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
HER
4 - 1
OVI
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SEV
7 - 2
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |