Celta vs Español Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
FOG
3 - 4
CEL
15%
21%
64%
|
78 | 21 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
CEL
5 - 2
RSG
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
RSG
1 - 6
CEL
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
DEV
0 - 3
CEL
15%
22%
64%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
CEL
8 - 2
FOG
86%
10%
5%
|
78 | 16 | 62 | 0 |
Matches
Español Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
DEV
1 - 1
RSG
16%
22%
63%
|
10 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
DEV
2 - 1
FOG
16%
22%
62%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
FOG
4 - 3
DEV
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
DEV
0 - 3
CEL
15%
22%
64%
|
8 | 78 | 70 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
RSG
4 - 0
DEV
86%
9%
5%
|
8 | 48 | 40 | 0 |