Celta vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAB
1 - 2
CEL
17%
26%
58%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 1
FCB
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 3
DEP
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
CEL
20%
26%
55%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 0
MUR
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
CCF
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 2
ALC
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |