Celta Barreiros vs Matela AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+1212%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Barreiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
COD
2 - 0
CEL
53%
22%
26%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CEL
4 - 3
OUR
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 2
ABA
20%
20%
60%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 2
MEI
38%
23%
39%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
CEL
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Matela AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 0
ROU
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SRO
3 - 3
MAT
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 2
CEL
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CSA
1 - 1
MAT
39%
23%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
MAC
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |