Celta Fortuna vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
+2
9.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.2%
33.6%
Draw
0-0
17.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.6%
30.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
ALO
5 - 1
CEL
57%
25%
18%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
CAM
5 - 1
CEL
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
CEL
0 - 0
GRA
51%
28%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
COM
0 - 1
CEL
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 0
TUR
59%
25%
16%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
SPB
1 - 0
GRA
65%
23%
12%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
COM
0 - 1
SPB
53%
28%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 0
TUR
70%
20%
10%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
SIE
1 - 1
SPB
42%
30%
28%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
SPB
2 - 1
AVI
61%
25%
14%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |