Celta Fortuna vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 0
CEL
89%
8%
3%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CEL
2 - 2
GIN
37%
27%
36%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CAM
4 - 1
CEL
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
LUG
3 - 0
CEL
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CEL
3 - 2
ARO
30%
29%
41%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
SPB
1 - 0
LUG
63%
24%
14%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
ELC
5 - 1
SPB
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ARO
2 - 1
SPB
42%
31%
27%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 1
NAV
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
SPB
0 - 2
ELC
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |