Celta Fortuna vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AMU
0 - 0
CEL
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LOG
1 - 1
CEL
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALF
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 0
CEL
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 2
ALA
36%
29%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
LOG
2 - 1
AVI
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
AMU
0 - 0
AVI
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 0
BAR
36%
30%
34%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
LOG
1 - 2
AVI
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |