Celta Fortuna vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
54%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SSR
2 - 2
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
2 - 2
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
GIM
0 - 0
CEL
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 1
PUE
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CDO
2 - 0
CEL
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
RAY
0 - 0
ATB
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
LEG
1 - 3
RAY
23%
27%
49%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
RAY
2 - 0
FUE
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 1
RAY
81%
14%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
TAL
1 - 2
RAY
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |