Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
MON
4 - 0
CEL
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 3
VEC
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
CEL
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 4
GUA
32%
29%
40%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEG
2 - 1
CEL
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 2
DEP
16%
27%
57%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 1
ALC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
ALA
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 0
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |