Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CUL
0 - 3
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 4
CEL
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 1
ATH
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEL
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 4
PON
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
CDG
0 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUG
3 - 0
RSO
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SES
3 - 0
LUG
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
LEM
50%
26%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |