Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CDO
1 - 1
CEL
44%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 1
VEC
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
RAY
4 - 1
CEL
68%
22%
11%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CEL
3 - 1
RMC
18%
23%
60%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
DEP
2 - 1
CEL
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 0
SSR
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ATB
3 - 1
LUG
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 0
LEG
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
LUG
43%
28%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |