Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
ORD
1 - 2
CEL
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
CEL
0 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
ARO
1 - 2
CEL
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
CEL
2 - 1
ACF
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
DEP
0 - 0
CEL
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
LUG
2 - 1
VIV
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
CHO
1 - 3
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZEL
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
COX
0 - 2
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
ARO
0 - 1
LUG
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |