Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ARO
1 - 0
CEL
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
CEL
3 - 2
PON
88%
8%
4%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
DEP
2 - 3
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
ACF
1 - 2
CEL
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
CEL
6 - 0
UDA
91%
6%
3%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
LUG
6 - 0
VIV
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
CAM
3 - 1
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
LUG
5 - 0
FLA
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
LUG
10 - 0
SAN
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
ZEL
1 - 0
LUG
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |