Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ARO
1 - 0
CEL
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CEL
2 - 0
JUV
84%
11%
6%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ORD
0 - 1
CEL
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
CEL
2 - 1
CDO
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
FLA
0 - 3
CEL
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
LUG
4 - 0
CAM
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
ARO
3 - 3
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
LUG
3 - 0
DEP
77%
14%
10%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
JUV
0 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
LUG
4 - 0
PON
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |