Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
MAR
2 - 0
CEL
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 2
JUV
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
BET
5 - 4
CEL
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | -3 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
LUG
1 - 3
CEL
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
CEL
3 - 1
JUV
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
LUG
6 - 0
FLA
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
LUG
5 - 1
ORD
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
MAR
0 - 1
LUG
80%
12%
7%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
LUG
1 - 3
CEL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -3 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
DEP
8 - 1
LUG
79%
13%
9%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |