Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
LEM
3 - 0
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
CEL
4 - 1
SAN
81%
11%
8%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
PON
3 - 1
CEL
77%
13%
10%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
CEL
3 - 0
ARO
82%
11%
7%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
CDO
3 - 2
CEL
74%
14%
11%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1954 |
LUG
3 - 0
CDO
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
DEP
1 - 2
LUG
83%
11%
7%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
LUG
2 - 3
MAR
61%
19%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
LUG
0 - 5
ACF
56%
21%
22%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ARO
2 - 0
LUG
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |