Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
LEO
3 - 0
CEL
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
CEL
5 - 0
TUR
76%
14%
11%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SAN
2 - 3
CEL
52%
21%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
CEL
5 - 1
SMA
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CDO
3 - 1
CEL
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
LUG
2 - 1
CDO
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
RAC
3 - 0
LUG
48%
22%
30%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
LUG
0 - 0
ACF
75%
14%
10%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
PON
1 - 1
LUG
58%
19%
23%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAL
1 - 1
LUG
48%
22%
30%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |