Celta Fortuna vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
ZEL
3 - 3
CEL
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
CEL
3 - 2
COX
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
DEP
2 - 0
CEL
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
CEL
1 - 0
RCF
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
GRA
2 - 4
CEL
43%
23%
33%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
CHO
1 - 2
VIV
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SAN
0 - 1
CHO
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
ZEL
2 - 1
CHO
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
CHO
4 - 2
COX
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
DEP
1 - 1
CHO
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |