Celta Fortuna vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
CEL
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 2
OVI
30%
28%
42%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ATB
4 - 1
CEL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 4
LUG
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MON
4 - 0
CEL
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
0 - 1
CDT
47%
28%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
CAD
3 - 1
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 1
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 2
SSR
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RVB
1 - 1
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |