Celoricense CD vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
74.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celoricense CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BRI
4 - 3
CEL
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
NIN
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
9 - 0
MER
91%
7%
2%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MER
1 - 3
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 3
MER
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |