3ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Cellera A vs Moià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cellera A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
MOI
2 - 3
CEL
41%
21%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CEL
0 - 2
PAL
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
BRD
0 - 2
CEL
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 2
TOR
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FUE
2 - 3
CEL
41%
21%
38%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Moià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
MOI
2 - 3
CEL
41%
21%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 0
MOI
9%
15%
76%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MOI
1 - 2
OLG
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
OAR
1 - 4
MOI
5%
12%
83%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MOI
5 - 0
FOL
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |