Cellera A vs Base Vilobi 2015 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cellera A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 2
CEL
42%
21%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
BMA
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
CEL
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
ANG
62%
18%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
OSO
1 - 8
CEL
14%
17%
70%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Base Vilobi 2015
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BVI
3 - 1
FCL
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 5
BVI
14%
18%
69%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 1
BVI
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BVI
2 - 1
RCE
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 2
BVI
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |