Cella vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CFB
0 - 1
CEL
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 0
CDB
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
CFV
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CFI
2 - 0
CEL
63%
20%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 2
CEL
20%
21%
58%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
UDM
3 - 0
CFV
22%
24%
55%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CFI
6 - 0
UDM
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 4
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FUE
3 - 1
UDM
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CDS
3 - 0
UDM
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -2 |