Cella vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
LAA
4 - 2
CEL
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CEL
4 - 2
CAL
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GAR
2 - 0
CEL
48%
23%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 4
CDE
18%
22%
61%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAA
3 - 1
CEL
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
UDM
1 - 2
OLI
29%
25%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MON
3 - 1
UDM
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
UDM
1 - 1
UDC
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ALF
1 - 2
UDM
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UDM
1 - 2
ICF
25%
23%
53%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |