Celje vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
6º
4º
43
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PYU
1 - 0
CEL
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHR
3 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 2
RAD
58%
23%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
SHR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NKP
2 - 1
DOM
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NKN
0 - 3
NKP
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NKP
0 - 2
FCK
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 0
NKP
63%
23%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKP
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |