UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 7-1
Celje vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 5
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
RAP
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 3
GAL
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 0
HUN
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 2
CEL
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 5
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 0
FLO
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 1
FLO
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 1
TAM
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 0
FLO
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |