Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 7-2
Celje vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
AGF
1 - 0
CEL
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
KOR
1 - 2
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
CEL
5 - 1
FCK
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
NKO
4 - 0
CEL
72%
17%
12%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
CEL
3 - 1
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
AGF
1 - 0
CEL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
HFK
2 - 2
AGF
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
AGF
4 - 0
AAB
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
OBK
0 - 4
AGF
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
AGF
0 - 3
FCK
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |