Celje vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 2
CEL
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
CEL
3 - 3
SFK
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
SFK
2 - 3
CEL
38%
24%
39%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
ČUK
2 - 1
CEL
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 1
DOM
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
AEK
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
AEK
1 - 0
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
AND
2 - 2
AEK
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AEK
3 - 3
SER
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
KVC
1 - 3
AEK
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |