Celaya vs Zapatec FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
TOR
15%
20%
65%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 3
UDG
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CAÑ
4 - 3
TOR
32%
26%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 0
ALT
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
UAT
0 - 1
TOR
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Zapatec FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
TRO
2 - 1
ZAP
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ZAP
2 - 1
JAG
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UDG
3 - 1
ZAP
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ZAP
1 - 0
CAÑ
34%
25%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ALT
0 - 0
ZAP
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |