Celaya vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALT
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
DOR
2 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
PUE
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
AME
3 - 2
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
TIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 1
MOR
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
NEC
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |